💰 David McDowell's Blackjack Ace Prediction: A False Key to Blackjack Ace Sequencing

Most Liked Casino Bonuses in the last 7 days 🔥

Filter:
Sort:
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

John Marchel explains why aces are such powerful cards in blackjack. Keeping track of them can cut the house edge!


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

opgdota.ru › /04 › shuffle-tracking-ace-sequencing.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

I don't recall any sequencing information in BJ Attack. In , David McDowell's book "Blackjack Ace Prediction" was published, but many.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

Unless the dealer does a strong job of shuffling you can expect this group of face cards and aces to come out of the deck shortly after the ace of diamonds. Simply​.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

Ace sequencing card is another form of shuffle tracking where the player would have to track the aces in the deck after they have been shuffled.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

opgdota.ru › /04 › shuffle-tracking-ace-sequencing.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

Hi guys. Do you know Ace tracking techniques? I'm just curious about this method and wanna ask If it is possibile to master it and get.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

One of the first books to be published on Ace sequencing was David McDowell's Blackjack Ace Prediction which provided an.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

Unless the dealer does a strong job of shuffling you can expect this group of face cards and aces to come out of the deck shortly after the ace of diamonds. Simply​.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

💰

Software - MORE
TT6335644
Bonus:
Free Spins
Players:
All
WR:
50 xB
Max cash out:
$ 500

One of the first books to be published on Ace sequencing was David McDowell's Blackjack Ace Prediction which provided an.


Enjoy!
Valid for casinos
Visits
Likes
Dislikes
Comments

And why does this matter? Since McDowell, on p. No experienced tracker will disagree with him there. There are only a couple of possibilities. In addition, the normal number of other false keys will trigger bad bets on this ace that will never appear. What he does is run through this shuffle four times, each time graphing the location of each numbered card in the post-shuffle stack. They limit their slug tracking to areas of the stack where they will have visual aides to eyeballing accuracy. How confident are any of you that you will be able to visually detect that a grab in this shuffle is off by three cards? McDowell has specified a 2-pass shuffle with no plugs and card grabs on each pass. That means it is impossible, on a proper idealized shuffle map, for cards 50, 51, and 52 supposedly in slug C of his diagram on p. Taylor is using visual tracking methods in this situation because the only information he has is one key and he has no other choice. McDowell's Blackjack Ace Prediction is Unfortunately Full of Major Mistakes Although David McDowell's Blackjack Ace Prediction book is full of major mistakes in everything from blackjack shuffle tracking and ace sequencing technique to basic blackjack math, this discussion of the errors in the book should help players learn to think through how to actually carry out blackjack ace sequencing and better shuffle tracking.

I am concerned that these statements, along with others in the book similar to them, may lead players to believe that the shuffle analysis, shuffle tracking, and ace tracking methods McDowell provides are what "big money pros" do.

Details of these breaks are not given. Second, what good does any of this pinpoint precision do if you click here not able to eyeball card locations with equal precision during the shuffle?

McDowell specifies that the dealer breaks this pre-shuffle stack into 4 piles. Cards at the top of a grab will repeatedly get included in the following grabs from the "final stack," and will evaporate upward in the stepladder into unpredictable in practical reality post-shuffle locations.

I want to try to show you why nothing could be farther from the truth. The methodology McDowell uses to analyze this shuffle is provided on p.

But any aces that appear in location 50, 51, or 52 cannot be expected to show up in the anticipated deck. Has McDowell ever even looked at the "final stack" of a stepladder shuffle?

Unfortunately, they find that some skillful judgment is still involved. Beginners lose a lot of money this way and, instead fandango palms making this elementary mistake, he should be pointing out the extreme importance of such details.

And the top 3 cards of any card slug are certainly as vulnerable as the bottom 3 even for the most skilled trackers. I am making no attempt to provide an overall correct hit rate estimate here. These slugs are more vulnerable than many others to displacement because of uneven pile breaks and bigger-than-recipe grabs.

In real casinos, trackers will be watching dealers grab all over the place. For one of every three of our disappearing aces, its actual key will wind up in the expected post-shuffle deck to trigger a bad bet.

The problems that real trackers will be having are, after all, going to be much more difficult than the challenge McDowell faced. The tracking aces blackjack next grabs half-deck, or card, grabs from two of these piles, riffles them together, and places them on the table to start a fifth pile called the "final stack".

I believe every skill a player acquires will lead to other skills, one of which may even probabilite de gagner au blackjack pay off. In the meantime, if you go into serious training to memorize multiple sequences, tracking aces blackjack will be good for your brain.

For the other This means roughly an additional 5. Save Big on Las Vegas Hotels!

Now, McDowell has taken care to hedge his bets by saying, on p. Instead, he avoids many difficult tracking issues by specifying that cutoffs are topped or implying that there are no cutoffs. And slug trackers are tracking an overall rich slug with many high cards and decent borders.

The shuffle is being done on 6 decks. I don't see much point in going further with https://opgdota.ru/blackjack/blackjack-2-phone-charger.html math when McDowell's underlying formula is wrong. Although the error tracking aces blackjack look small and meaningless to you, I will try to show you why it is not small when you're dealing with locating an ace to bet.

McDowell is proposing that a player visually track a card slug through a difficult shuffle in order to use one key to locate an ace within one post-shuffle deck. For the other two of every three of our disappearing aces, the normal number of false keys can be expected to double, because the real key and its ace will never appear in the deck to stop you from betting false keys after them.

And if they are, they are limiting themselves to doing this on one slug. McDowell then specifies that the "final stack" is broken into two three-deck piles to begin the second pass of the shuffle. First, speaking as someone who has tracking aces blackjack tried this as all players do while still in their newbie periodit is not easily done.

Other trackers have used visual read article for ace location in exceptionally dreamboat shuffles they happened to stumble upon in Podunk, in situations where their other sequencing skills were rusty from non-use.

And what if the dealer is off by three cards in the other here Or something like that.

Based on these four repetitions of the shuffle, he provides four pages of proof that this shuffle did not completely randomize the tracking aces blackjack of the pre-shuffle cards. Now you are missing almost half of this slug from its post-shuffle destination. At least McDowell got to control his own grab sizes, and his grabs in his four shuffle repetitions were consistent.

McDowell also assures us that "it is enough to identify one or two reliable [shuffle] weaknesses," when all of his win rate calculations require identifying four. On these 7. The wrong grab will completely explode them out of their expected post-shuffle destination and fling them all through the rest of the shoe.

In this pass, a half-deck grab is made from each of the two piles, the two grabs are riffled together once, and then are placed on the table to make a new "final stack. As for trackers of more typical skill, nothing in cards is safe.

Poker Tournaments. And I do realize a player will still get 7. So, all the analysis has to deal with is cards 6 decks in a stack, numbered and arranged in order so that card 1 is the first card sitting on the table and card is the last card on the top.

Shop our deals page for the latest, biggest discounts on Vegas shows, exhibits, thrill rides and tours. Instead, the real problems begin back on p. This is particularly true for any grab near the top of a shuffle pile, such as the grab near the card slug that McDowell has us tracking.

Worth are it sidebets blackjack, to start, McDowell mis-maps his target slug. The shuffle McDowell tracking aces blackjack has no plugs.

Please hold back, read article a moment, your objections that no dealer can be expected to grab precisely cards 53 through 65 as https://opgdota.ru/blackjack/get-5-free-casino.html bottom half of a grab either, because that is part of the larger point we will soon be getting to.

The other thing we hope you get from the article is that it's important to test blackjack advantage play techniques like ace prediction thoroughly, and at low stakes, under real life casino conditions, before you ever put any serious money behind them.

Still, I do not mean to dissuade you from trying. So: 23 out of every times we will have "disappearing" aces 7. To be specific, on p. They want to get away from NRS mumbo-jumbo and self-doubt and actually be able to count the aces they hit. McDowell fails to address the errors that will ensue if the dealer does not have precisely his grab size or consistency, and he doesn't seem to realize that his map is only right for dealers who share his precise grab error.

Not only do actions at the table screw up your count by causing cards to go into the discards in unexpected order because of blackjacks and bustsbut you have to retain your count and card location numbers while also retaining key card info and also tracking and talking with the dealer, pit boss and host and playing your hands.

If you want to sequence aces, the best way to prepare is to you example of doubling down in blackjack opinion yourself to be able to memorize multiple keys for as many aces as you can handle per shoe.

How wrong? So, how did McDowell come up with graphs and statistical analyses that "prove" cards 50 through 62 consistently wind up together in the 2 nd deck from the top after the shuffle?

Until you work out the practical details of any advanced blackjack play, and have statistically significant win results, do not assume that you have an edge at the play!

Skilled slug trackers know they have to do a lot of edge work in any shuffle like the one McDowell has specified. McDowell does seem to recognize some of the problems in his methodology, because on p. In any case, experienced players do not use visual tracking for ace location where other methods would work much better. Blackjack Forum.